Erdélyi Miklós; Szikszai Szabolcs: Simple methods to assess the credibility of the Hungarian inflation targeting regime.
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In our paper, we introduce simple approaches to assess the credibility of the Hungarian inflation targeting (IT) monetary policy regime in the period between July 2001 and April 2009. First, we present the findings of a non-representative survey we conducted amongst the major stakeholders of monetary policy. The results of the survey suggest that, according to financial market players, the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) lost some of its credibility between 2002 and 2007.We then apply simple methods to assess the success of the IT regime and to measure the predictability and gradualism of the decisions of the MNB’s Monetary Council (MC) and the consistency of central bank communication. The results of this analysis show that the time series of the inflation measure using unchanged tax rates became stationary after the introduction of IT in 2001, while the predictability and gradualism of MNB MC’s policy rate decisions and the consistency of central bank communication each displayed low levels in the observed period.
| Mű típusa: | Konferencia vagy workshop anyag |
|---|---|
| Befoglaló folyóirat/kiadvány címe: | Proceedings of the Challenges for Analysis of the Economy, the Businesses, and Social Progress : International Scientific Conference Szeged, November 19-21, 2009 |
| Dátum: | 2010 |
| ISBN: | 978-963-06-9558-9 |
| Oldalak: | pp. 473-498 |
| Befoglaló mű URL: | http://acta.bibl.u-szeged.hu/57418/ |
| Kulcsszavak: | Infláció - Magyarország - 21. sz. |
| Megjegyzések: | Bibliogr.: p. 24-26. ; összefoglalás angol nyelven |
| Feltöltés dátuma: | 2019. ápr. 25. 08:14 |
| Utolsó módosítás: | 2022. nov. 08. 13:08 |
| URI: | http://acta.bibl.u-szeged.hu/id/eprint/57820 |
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